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BH

Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc. (BHR)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2025 results were seasonally soft but operationally resilient: comparable RevPAR rose 1.4% to $257, driven by ADR +4.7% to $401 while occupancy fell 3.2% to 64.3% . Comparable Hotel EBITDA increased 15.1% to $21.4M as managers delivered strong flow-through .
  • Revenue modestly beat consensus and EPS beat decisively: revenue $143.6M vs $142.6M consensus (+0.7%); EPS −$0.12 vs −$0.66 consensus, a significant beat. Adjusted EBITDAre was $16.4M, below EBITDA consensus $19.2M* .
  • Portfolio actions advanced deleveraging and sale positioning: sale of Marriott Seattle Waterfront ($145M; $88.4M debt repaid; ~$50.8M net proceeds) and post-quarter closing of The Clancy ($115M; $64.7M debt repaid; ~$43.7M net proceeds) refine the portfolio for a potential company sale .
  • Balance sheet/liquidity: cash and restricted cash totaled ~$164.0M; net debt/gross assets at 43.2%; debt is ~87% floating (caps in place), blended rate ~6.9% .
  • Strategic catalyst: formal sale process initiated in August; management will not provide interim updates, but expects the portfolio’s luxury positioning to attract private buyers .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Resort portfolio strength and flow-through: comparable resort RevPAR +5.5%; resort comparable Hotel EBITDA up ~58% YoY; management highlighted strong flow-through to margins .
    • Property standouts: Four Seasons Scottsdale comparable RevPAR up ~25%; Ritz-Carlton Lake Tahoe total revenue +32% YoY; Dorado Beach RevPAR +~20% YoY, supported by buyouts and residential rental program expansion .
    • Portfolio optimization: closed Seattle sale; definitive agreement then closed Clancy sale post-quarter; successfully refinanced Four Seasons Scottsdale at SOFR+3.00% to enhance liquidity and lower cost of debt .
    • Quote: “Our property managers were able to generate strong flow-through… resulting in approximately 15% growth in comparable Hotel EBITDA” — Richard Stockton, CEO .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Seasonality and renovations: Q3 is the weakest seasonal quarter; renovations at Cameo Beverly Hills, Park Hyatt Beaver Creek, and Hotel Yountville created displacement and urban softness (e.g., The Notary impacted by citywide occupancy declines) .
    • Occupancy pressure: portfolio comparable occupancy fell to 64.3% (−3.2% YoY), partially offset by ADR gains .
    • EBITDA below consensus: Adjusted EBITDAre of $16.4M was below the $19.2M EBITDA consensus*, reflecting seasonality, renovation disruptions, and urban headwinds .
    • Analyst concerns: government segment softness in D.C. (Capital Hilton) and potential near-term impacts from federal dynamics; management cited group revals/cancellations in D.C., though broader corporate strength mitigated elsewhere .

Financial Results

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Total Hotel Revenue ($USD Millions)$218.4 $179.9 $143.6
Net Income (Loss) Attributable to Common EPS ($USD)$(0.04) $(0.24) $(0.12)
Adjusted EBITDAre ($USD Millions)$63.0 $38.9 $16.4
Comparable RevPAR ($USD)$404.0 $318.1 $257.5
Comparable Occupancy (%)64.6% 71.9% 64.3%
Comparable ADR ($USD)$625.6 $442.8 $400.7
Comparable Hotel EBITDA Margin (%)32.42% 26.57% 15.47%

Segment breakdown (Resort vs Urban; Comparable metrics YoY):

Segment MetricQ3 2024Q3 2025
Resorts – Comparable RevPAR ($USD)$341.73 $360.55
Resorts – Comparable Occupancy (%)54.25% 55.34%
Resorts – Comparable ADR ($USD)$629.96 $651.46
Resorts – Comparable Hotel EBITDA ($USD Millions)$8.28 $13.05
Urban – Comparable RevPAR ($USD)$191.87 $184.42
Urban – Comparable Occupancy (%)74.91% 70.55%
Urban – Comparable ADR ($USD)$256.13 $261.40
Urban – Comparable Hotel EBITDA ($USD Millions)$10.33 $8.37

Selected KPIs and balance sheet:

KPIQ3 2025
Cash & Cash Equivalents ($USD Millions)$116.3
Restricted Cash ($USD Millions)$47.7
Due from Third-Party Hotel Managers ($USD Millions)$23.1
Net Debt / Gross Assets (%)43.2%
Debt Mix (Effectively Fixed / Floating)~13% / ~87%
Blended Average Interest Rate~6.9%
Capex Invested (Quarter) ($USD Millions)$21.5
Dividend Declared (Q4 per share) ($USD)$0.05

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Capex (Total $USD)FY 2025$75–$95M (Q2 call) $75–$85M (Q3 call) Narrowed lower end
Common DividendQ4 2025$0.05 (Q3 declared) $0.05 (Q4 declared) Maintained
Debt MaturitiesCY 2025“No remaining maturities in 2025” (Q2 PR) “No remaining maturities in 2025” (Q3 PR) Maintained
Strategic AlternativesN/AEvaluating, then initiated sale process (Aug 26) Sale process ongoing; no interim updates Announced/ongoing

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
Sale processNot present in Q1; Q2 focused on refinancing and asset sale Sale process initiated; no details until a transaction approved New strategic overhang
Group demandQ2: group pace +8.6% FY25; strong recovery; catering +100% at Lake Tahoe Q3: group room revenue pace +9.1% YTD; Lake Tahoe group room revenue +80.2% QoQ; portfolio catering +31% Strengthening; targeted high-spend events
Resort normalizationQ1/Q2: resorts resuming normalized growth Resort comparable RevPAR +5.5%; resort EBITDA +~58% YoY Continued normalization
Renovation impactsQ2: Yountville, Beaver Creek renovations; Cameo repositioning Q3: renovation disruption at Cameo, Beaver Creek, Yountville; urban softness (Philadelphia) Temporary headwind
Capital structure & liquidityQ1/Q2: refinancing across five hotels; Lake Tahoe extension Four Seasons Scottsdale refi at SOFR+3.00%; debt ~87% floating; blended ~6.9% Liquidity enhanced; rate exposure
Government segment/D.C.Q2: government softness noted D.C. impact limited (low gov’t transient mix); some group revals/cancellations at Capital Hilton Manageable risk
Leisure consumerQ2: strong leisure at resorts Luxury consumer remains price-insensitive; higher on-property ancillary spend Resilient

Management Commentary

  • “I’m pleased with Braemar’s solid third quarter performance… approximately 15% growth in comparable Hotel EBITDA… resorts delivering solid comparable RevPAR growth of 5.5%” — Richard Stockton, CEO .
  • “For the quarter we reported a net loss attributable to common stockholders of $8.2 million or $0.12 per diluted share and AFFO per diluted share of -$0.19. Adjusted EBITDAre for the quarter was $16.4 million.” — Deric Eubanks, CFO .
  • “Ritz-Carlton Lake Tahoe… exceptional group room revenue growth of 80.2%… +2,400 room nights; catering revenue increased 80.7%” — Chris Nixon, EVP Asset Management .
  • “We will not be providing any update on [the sale] process… no deadline or definitive timetable… no assurance that this process will result in the sale of the company.” — Richard Stockton, CEO .

Q&A Highlights

  • Capex run-rate and maintenance: management targets low-single-digit % of revenue for maintenance; larger ROI projects prioritized through engineering reviews; no significant deferred items .
  • Operational impact of sale process: management does not see property-level impact; despite headwinds, portfolio grew RevPAR, EBITDA, and margins quarter over quarter .
  • Internalization: Board evaluated internalization among strategic alternatives, but chose to pursue a company sale instead .
  • D.C. (government segment): limited direct exposure at Capital Hilton; some group revals/cancellations; broader corporate strength offset impacts .
  • Leisure trends: luxury consumers show low price sensitivity; higher ancillary spend on property; ADR strength offset slight occupancy declines .

Estimates Context

MetricQ3 2025 ConsensusQ3 2025 ActualSurprise
Revenue ($USD Millions)$142.6*$143.6 +$1.0 (+0.7%)*
Primary EPS ($USD)−$0.66*−$0.12 +$0.54 (beat)*
EBITDA ($USD Millions)$19.2*$12.1*−$7.1 (miss)*

Values marked with an asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.

Implication: Strong EPS and modest revenue beats likely reflect ADR strength and cost control; EBITDA shortfall vs consensus aligns with seasonality and renovation-related displacement.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • EPS beat and modest revenue beat despite seasonal trough and renovation drag suggest improved operational leverage; ADR strength and catering/facilities monetization underpin margins .
  • Resorts are the growth engine; continued normalized trajectory and Lake Tahoe/Dorado Beach outperformance support medium-term margin recovery as renovations complete .
  • Urban softness is transitory and mixed by market; Philadelphia was pressured, while Chicago and San Francisco improved pre-Clancy sale; expect improvement as renovations and event calendars normalize .
  • Portfolio optimization and debt actions de-risk: Seattle and Clancy sales lower leverage and sharpen the luxury focus; refinancing at Four Seasons Scottsdale reduced spreads, bolstering liquidity ahead of a potential sale .
  • Rate sensitivity remains high (~87% floating); interest-rate path is a key macro input to AFFO and valuation; caps mitigate near term, but rate declines would be a tailwind .
  • Dividend maintained at $0.05 (common), implying high yield; Board reviews quarterly; watch for sustainability and any adjustments tied to sale process milestones .
  • Sale process is the primary stock narrative; limited interim disclosures likely; private-market valuation discovery and continued deleveraging are catalysts for share price re-rating .